Immigrant Visas: August 2015 Priority Dates and Predictions of Future Visa Availability
PRIORITY DATES AND PREDICTIONS OF FUTURE VISA AVAILABILITY
Each month, the U.S. Department of State publishes its Visa Bulletin, in which it establishes cut-off dates in each immigration category, for each nationality. The recently released Visa Bulletin for August 2015 shows a minor advancement of the cut-off date for EB-2 China, while EB-3 China is hit with a 7 year retrogression.
PRIORITY DATES/ IMMIGRANT VISA AVAILABILITY AS OF AUGUST 1, 2015: http://travel.state.gov/content/visas/english/law-and-policy/bulletin/2015/visa-bulletin-for-august-2015.html
PREDICTIONS OF FUTURE VISA AVAILABILITY Courtesy of the American Immigration Lawyers Association (AILA). AILA InfoNet Doc. No. 14071401 (posted July 14, 2015). The information below is based on the discussion between Mr. Charlie Oppenheim of the Department of State’s Visa Office (VO) and AILA’s Liaison Committee regarding current visa demand and projections in various categories. It is important to note that all projections, including those noted in the Visa Bulletin, are subject to change depending on demand that is reported by U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) and the U.S. Department of State (DOS) in real time.
Major Retrogression for EB-3 China, Slight Advancement for EB-3 India
- Due to significant demand in the EB-3 China category in the early part of the fiscal year and higher than expected demand in the China family-based categories, EB-3 China will retrogress from September 1, 2011 all the way back to June 1, 2004. Mr. Oppenheim predicts however that this major retrogression for EB-3 China will be short-lived as he indicated that it is likely to rebound back to a 2010 or even a 2011 cut-off date once the new fiscal year begins in October. Additionally, EB-3 India advances by 4 months to June 1, 2004 and EB-3 Philippines goes from Unavailable in July to a cut-off date of June 1, 2004 as well. Mr. Oppenheim indicates that EB-3 India, China and the Philippines may all advance a few months in September.
- As Mr. Oppenheim predicted previously, there is no movement for EB-2 India in the August Visa Bulletin. Mr. Oppenheim indicates that the current cut-off date is likely to remain in effect through the remainder of the current fiscal year, unless demand for EB-1 and EB-2 declines substantially for all other countries within the next few weeks.
- EB-2 China advanced 2.5 months to December 15, 2013. Mr. Oppenheim indicates that there is a possibility of a slight advancement in September but that this date will most likely hold steady between now and the end of the fiscal year.
- Due to an extremely low level of demand, FB-2A (Spouses and Children under 21 of Lawful Permanent Residents) continues its advancement. Mr. Oppenheim indicates that the cut-off date (December 15, 2013 for August) will continue its advancement until an appropriate level of demand is achieved.
Should you have any questions regarding the above, please do not hesitate to contact your LAC attorney.
This news update was prepared by Justin Walters, Senior Paralegal, Larrabee Albi Coker LLP.